The 2025 US Open Women's Singles Final: Sabalenka versus Anisimova is set to unfold. This eagerly awaited showdown pits the world number one against the talented young American. If Sabalenka wins, it will be her fourth Grand Slam title, strengthening her bid for year-end world number one; if Anisimova triumphs, it will mark her first Grand Slam championship, confirming her status as a former prodigy.

The main difference in their paths to the final is that Sabalenka’s quarterfinal opponent, Van Uytvanck, withdrew due to injury, giving Sabalenka one less match and possibly a physical edge. Looking at their stats from previous matches, Sabalenka has served 24 aces and 17 double faults, with an ace-to-double fault ratio of 1.41; Anisimova has 35 aces and 18 double faults, with a ratio of 1.94, indicating Anisimova’s serving is significantly stronger this year at the US Open. First serve success rate is 61% for Sabalenka and 66% for Anisimova; first serve points won are 78% for Sabalenka and 72% for Anisimova; both have a second serve points won rate of 54%. This shows the first serve is crucial for Sabalenka. Regarding winners, Sabalenka has 135 despite playing one less match, while Anisimova has 177. Sabalenka’s unforced errors number 101, compared to Anisimova’s 164. Sabalenka’s ratio of winners to unforced errors is 1.34, higher than Anisimova’s 1.08, demonstrating Sabalenka’s high offensive efficiency and success rate at this US Open. If she maintains this level, she will control the match tempo.

Examining their routes to the final, Sabalenka’s five opponents have an average world ranking of 60.8. She defeated promising young players like Kudermetova, who was in good form early this year, Fernandez, whom she lost to four years ago, and last year’s finalist Pegula. Anisimova’s opponents average a ranking of 37.33, including rapidly improving Jone, the resurgent Maya, and two former major champions, Swiatek and Osaka. Clearly, Anisimova faced tougher competition and greater challenges. Sabalenka, having encountered fewer obstacles, will likely find the match challenging against Anisimova, whose playing style counters hers.

Looking at their head-to-head record, Sabalenka trails 3-6. Before 2023, Anisimova was a clear nemesis for Sabalenka. Although Sabalenka has earned three valuable wins after her transformation, Anisimova recently defeated her again at Wimbledon two months ago, showing how Anisimova’s fast-paced style naturally counters Sabalenka’s heavy groundstrokes. Notably, if Anisimova wins this final, she will have completed a clean sweep against the world number one, a proud achievement.

In terms of significance, an Anisimova victory would be the greatest redemption for the years she lost to hardship—her father’s sudden passing, struggles with depression and physical condition, and the heavy defeat in the Wimbledon final two months ago would all be erased. For Sabalenka, however, losing this match might be an even bigger blow, having finished runner-up in three finals this year, which would surely be frustrating.

Tonight’s women’s singles final will be the last major showdown of the 2025 Grand Slam season, and its importance to both players promises an exciting and memorable contest!(Source: Tennis Home, Author: Xiao Di)