Supercomputer predicts the score for the Real Madrid vs Juventus match

The Opta supercomputer strongly favors Real Madrid in the Champions League clash against Juventus, giving Los Blancos a 59.2% chance of winning at the Bernabeu stadium.

The match between Real Madrid and Juventus at the Santiago Bernabeu is considered the highlight of this week's Champions League fixtures. This marks the 22nd meeting between the two sides in Europe's premier competition—second only to the legendary Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid rivalry with 28 encounters.

According to statistics from the Opta supercomputer, Xabi Alonso's Real Madrid is the clear favorite with a 59.2% winning probability, while Igor Tudor's Juventus holds only 19.8%, and the chance of a draw stands at 21%. These figures clearly illustrate the gap in form and quality between the two clubs who have both dominated European football in the past.

Real Madrid's current form is extremely impressive. After finishing as runners-up in the 2024 Europa League with Bayer Leverkusen, coach Xabi Alonso is now aiming for the highest honors with the royal club. Under his leadership, Real started perfectly with two consecutive wins in the Champions League: a 2-1 victory over Marseille in the opener and a 5-0 thrashing of Kairat Almaty in the second round, featuring a hat-trick from Kylian Mbappe.

Los Blancos have also maintained a terrifying run at the Bernabeu, winning 12 of their last 13 home group stage matches and only losing once to AC Milan 1-3 in November 2024. Real’s attack is on fire, scoring 18 goals in their last 5 Champions League games, winning all five. Last weekend, the royal team further confirmed their consistency by beating Getafe 1-0 to solidify their top spot in La Liga, building perfect momentum ahead of the big clash.

On the other side, Juventus is going through a turbulent period. Under coach Igor Tudor, the "Old Lady" has won only 1 out of their last 11 away Champions League games (drawing 5, losing 5). Even more notably, they are experiencing a streak of 5 consecutive draws across all competitions—the longest for the club in nearly 20 years.

Juventus’s first two Champions League matches ended in disappointment. Against Dortmund, they trailed 2-4 until the 90th minute but managed to equalize 4-4 with two goals in stoppage time. In the match versus Villarreal, Juve lost the win after conceding a late equalizer to finish 2-2. This inconsistent performance makes their goal of reaching the top 8 under Tudor increasingly difficult.

Now, with Juventus no longer the formidable force of the past, the rematch at the Bernabeu is predicted to heavily favor Real Madrid. With their destructive form, home advantage, and a star-studded squad in peak condition, Xabi Alonso’s Los Blancos are expected to extend their winning streak and strengthen their position atop the Champions League group.

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