1 BurnleyVSLiverpool

The home side is a newly promoted team with one victory and two losses in three rounds; both losses occurred away, while they defeated Sunderland, also a promoted team, at home. Their goal stats are 4 scored and 6 conceded, indicating reasonable attacking ability but poor defense.

The visitors, as reigning champions, have a perfect record after three games, showing excellent form with 8 goals for and 4 against, including impressive wins over Arsenal and Newcastle, which carry considerable weight.

The data strongly favors the away team, and given both teams’ current form and strength, the chance of an upset is quite low.

Away win

2 Manchester CityVSManchester United

The home team's strength has declined significantly, and their performance has been poor, with one win and two losses after three rounds, disappointing especially after losses to Tottenham and Brighton. Their goal tally is 5 scored and 4 conceded; although they scored four in one match, their attack and defense both have many issues, with last season's problems unresolved.

The visitors have made major squad changes this season, with one win, one draw, and one loss in three matches. Losing to Arsenal was expected, drawing with Fulham was reasonable, but their win over Burnley was somewhat shaky, conceding two goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

The data gives strong support to the home team. Considering both teams’ recent form, both defenses have problems, so it depends on whose attack is stronger.

First home win, then away win

3 St. PauliVSAugsburg

The home team has one win and one draw after two matches, drawing with Dortmund and beating Hamburg, performing well with 5 goals scored and 3 conceded, showing good attacking capability.

The visitors have one win and one loss after two matches, beating Freiburg and losing reasonably to Bayern. Scoring two goals against Bayern shows the visitors are somewhat dominant this season. Their goal stats are 5 for and 4 against.

The data offers some support to the home team, though not very strong, acknowledging their good performance. The visitors have very good away form.

First home win, then away win

4 MonchengladbachVSBremen

Both teams have similar strength. The home team after two rounds has one draw and one loss without a win, starting with a 0-0 draw against Hamburg, then a 0-1 loss to Stuttgart. Their goal stats are 0 scored and 1 conceded, showing offensive issues but relatively solid defense.

The visitors also have one draw and one loss after two matches, losing 1-4 to Frankfurt and drawing 3-3 with Leverkusen. Although their defense seems unstable, their attack is decent. Their goals are 4 scored and 7 conceded.

The data supports the home team slightly, though not strongly, and this data is not very favorable for the home side.

First draw, then away win

5 AtalantaVSLecce

The home team has two consecutive draws in two matches, against Lecce and Parma, both opponents not strong, with 1-1 results, indicating significant problems in both attack and defense.

The visitors have one draw and one loss in two matches, drawing with Genoa and losing to AC Milan, with a goal tally of 0 scored and 2 conceded, showing weak offense and unstable defense.

The data gives considerable support to the home team. Given both teams’ strength and form, the home side should perform well at home.

Home win

6 PisaVSUdinese

The home team, as a newly promoted club, has one draw and one loss after two matches, drawing unexpectedly with Atalanta and narrowly losing 0-1 to Roma, showing a pragmatic style of play.

The visitors have one win and one draw in two matches, performing well with a draw against Verona and an away win over Inter Milan, demonstrating good competitive form.

The data shows no clear bias. Considering both teams’ strength and form, the visitors have a higher chance to win, but the home team’s defense is not weak.

First away win, then draw

7 Sassuolo VS Lazio

The home team, a newly promoted club, has two consecutive losses after two rounds, losing to Napoli and Cremonese, with a goal difference of 2 scored and 5 conceded, showing poor performance.

The visitors have one win and one loss after two matches, initially struggling badly against Como but then achieving a four-goal victory over Verona, indicating a recovery.

The data supports the away team, but not strongly, reflecting some lack of confidence in them. The data is not very favorable, but as an established team, they need to start the season steadily.

Away win

8 AC MilanVSBologna

The home team has one win and one loss after two rounds, losing to Cremonese and then defeating Lecce, performing moderately with a goal difference of 3 scored and 2 conceded.

The visitors also have one win and one loss, losing to Roma and then beating Como, with goals scored and conceded both at 1.

The data favors the home side with considerable strength; the visitors’ style is still quite good.

First home win, then away win

9 LevanteVSReal Betis

The home team has lost all three matches, with a goal difference of 3 scored and 7 conceded. Apart from Barcelona, the other two opponents are not strong.

The visitors have played one more match, with one win, two draws, and one loss, showing an overall decent performance.

The data supports the away team, though not strongly, but it is relatively stable.

Away win

10 OsasunaVSRayo Vallecano

The home team has one win and two losses in three matches, with both losses away, and a goal difference of 1 scored and 2 conceded, all by a single goal margin.

The visitors have one win, one draw, and one loss in three matches, recently drawing at home with Barcelona, showing decent overall form.

The data shows no clear preference, giving the home team a slight edge. Both teams have narrow margins and weak attacks.

First home win, then draw

11 BarcelonaVSValencia

The home team should win.

Home win

12 GermanVSLens

The home team remains strong, winning all three matches. The first two wins were by a single goal, and the last was a six-goal thrashing of Toulouse, though they conceded three goals.

The visitors have two wins and one loss in three matches, currently on a two-game winning streak, with a goal difference of 5 scored and 6 conceded.

The data gives the home team strong support but somewhat ignores the visitors’ improving form. It is still slightly conservative.

First home win, then draw

13 BrestVSParis FC

The home team is much stronger than the visitors. They have one win and two losses in three matches, with both losses away, and a goal difference of 5 scored and 8 conceded, showing poor defense and average form.

The visitors have one win and two draws in three matches, recently winning 2-0 against Metz, with a goal difference of 5 scored and 8 conceded, also showing weak defense.

The data gives slight support to the home team, though not strongly. Being at home, the home team must perform well this season, especially against promoted teams.

Home win

14 RennesVSLyon

The home team has one win, one draw, and one loss in three matches. They started well by beating Marseille, but then lost 4-0 to Lorient away and drew with Angers away, showing very unstable performance.

The visitors have won all three matches with outstanding form, narrowly beating Lens and Marseille and decisively winning against Metz, conceding no goals, demonstrating very strong defense and high quality.

The data shows no clear bias but notes the home team’s instability.

First away win, then draw