The S15 quarterfinal landscape is revealed, LPL faces a major crisis, BLG has a chance to face T1, and an internal clash is possible.

Hello to all LPL fans and League of Legends summoners, this is Tianxia Game Report.

The Swiss stage of the S15 World Championship has entered a short break, and the fourth round will begin tomorrow. From this point forward, no BO1 matches will occur; all will be BO3 to decide the final eight teams.

TES and BLG from LPL, who have not yet advanced, must speed up their preparations to try to reach the quarterfinals.

Quarterfinal outlook analysis: LPL faces a new crisis.

BLG has only won one match in the first three rounds, meaning they will enter the elimination round. Losing in the elimination round means direct elimination from the quarterfinals. Under these circumstances, many fans hope BLG will draw T1, but in the fourth-round draw, BLG successfully avoided T1 and will face the wildcard team VSW.

Therefore, the anticipated BLG vs. T1 matchup can only happen in the final round.

Many fans have started analyzing the possibility of a China-Korea battle in the last round. We can analyze the final round's draw one round early to predict the quarterfinal advancement situation.

After analysis, it must be admitted that the two LPL teams are indeed facing considerable challenges.

If both BLG and TES participate in the final round, there could be either a China-Korea showdown or an internal LPL clash. The key factor here is not BLG or TES, but T1.

According to common predictions and strength analysis, the six teams most likely to appear in the final round are FLY, TES, CFO, BLG, MKOI, and T1. Among these, T1 cannot face FLY or CFO.

The chances of BLG facing T1 increase, and an internal battle is also possible.

One of the major Swiss stage rules is that teams that have played each other before will not face off again. This means, based on common predictions, T1's opponents in the final round can only be TES, BLG, or MKOI. So the chance of a China-Korea battle is 2/3, and the chance of facing BLG is 1/3.

It should also be noted that if the organizers want to avoid specific matchups, they cannot satisfy all three parties simultaneously. For example, avoiding a China-Korea battle could cause an internal LPL conflict, and avoiding an internal LPL clash might result in a China-Korea showdown. It is very likely that any two of BLG, T1, and TES will face each other.

The above is the most likely scenario for the final round. Another less likely possibility is that if G2 loses to FLY and enters the final round, BLG and TES would not face G2, making the situation even trickier and increasing the chances of a China-Korea battle or internal clash.

In this case, the only theoretical way to avoid both the China-Korea battle and internal LPL clash is BLG vs. MKOI, TES vs. CFO, and T1 vs. G2.

Wasting great opportunities, LPL teams pay the price.

The second scenario is if G2 falls into the final round, making the draw difficult for the organizers. In summary, for the final round, the organizers hope TES, BLG, and T1 can all advance safely, but this cannot be guaranteed. There may be a direct matchup between two of them, leaving one eliminated in the round of 16.

In my opinion, the reason LPL faces this crisis is mainly because its teams have wasted too many good opportunities.

From a bird’s eye view, the LPL region didn’t need to struggle so hard. With AL already qualified, TES squandered their chance against KT and performed terribly, resulting in a tough fourth-round draw against the strong GEN. As for BLG, it’s even worse, losing two out of three matches against European and American teams.

Normally, the LPL region could have had all three teams qualify, but now the difficulty is very high.

Under these circumstances, TES and BLG must double their efforts to make up for previous mistakes and strive to qualify all teams, aiming to compete evenly with LCK in the quarterfinals. We also hope TES and BLG wake up now, bring out their best form, fight hard in every small game, and pursue the best possible results.